Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001731 0.001849 0.001970 0.002106 0.002252 0.002407 0.002582
2024-12-29 0.001536 0.001698 0.001872 0.002076 0.002306 0.002560 0.002862
2025-01-05 0.001406 0.001595 0.001805 0.002058 0.002356 0.002695 0.003115
2025-01-12 0.001293 0.001497 0.001731 0.002019 0.002367 0.002777 0.003301
2025-01-19 0.001213 0.001429 0.001682 0.002002 0.002398 0.002877 0.003506
2025-01-26 0.001114 0.001331 0.001590 0.001923 0.002345 0.002866 0.003568
2025-02-02 0.001090 0.001323 0.001605 0.001975 0.002454 0.003060 0.003898
2025-02-09 0.001061 0.001306 0.001606 0.002009 0.002539 0.003226 0.004198
2025-02-16 0.001058 0.001320 0.001647 0.002093 0.002693 0.003487 0.004641
2025-02-23 0.001021 0.001287 0.001625 0.002092 0.002733 0.003596 0.004877
2025-03-02 0.000962 0.001223 0.001560 0.002030 0.002685 0.003581 0.004933
2025-03-09 0.000915 0.001175 0.001512 0.001989 0.002662 0.003598 0.005037
2025-03-16 0.000879 0.001141 0.001487 0.001984 0.002698 0.003711 0.005305
2025-03-23 0.000839 0.001102 0.001451 0.001963 0.002710 0.003791 0.005531
2025-03-30 0.000805 0.001067 0.001422 0.001948 0.002730 0.003883 0.005780
2025-04-06 0.000766 0.001025 0.001379 0.001912 0.002715 0.003919 0.005943
2025-04-13 0.000737 0.000995 0.001352 0.001896 0.002729 0.004001 0.006183
2025-04-20 0.000692 0.000941 0.001288 0.001823 0.002651 0.003933 0.006168
2025-04-27 0.000686 0.000942 0.001305 0.001871 0.002763 0.004172 0.006690
2025-05-04 0.000676 0.000937 0.001311 0.001902 0.002850 0.004376 0.007164
2025-05-11 0.000679 0.000951 0.001346 0.001981 0.003017 0.004720 0.007916
2025-05-18 0.000661 0.000933 0.001332 0.001981 0.003054 0.004847 0.008282
2025-05-25 0.000629 0.000893 0.001283 0.001923 0.002992 0.004799 0.008315